The News-Messenger from Fremont, Ohio • 18

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18 News-Messenger, Fremont, Wednesday, April 1, 1981 Are Democrats about to suffer another defeat? By DON CAMPBELL Gannett News Service WASHINGTON The Democrats, who suffered unexpected losses in last November's elections, are about to be ambushed again. As the political parties gear up for the decennial guerilla warfare known as congressional reapportionment, the news is that only the Republicans are taking the battle very seriously. At stake is the political makeup of most of the 435 congressional districts, whose boundaries must be redrawn to reflect population shifts documented by the 1980 census. Included are 17 districts that will be moved lock, stock and barrel to reflect the so-called Frost Belt-Sun Belt shift. The 17 will be eliminated in 10 Northeastern and Midwestern states, then created from scratch in 11 Southern and Western states.

Ultimately at stake, of course, is control of the House of Representatives, where the Republicans need only 26 more seats to become the majority party. It seems absurd on the face of it to suggest that the Republicans have much of a chance in the reapportionment fight. After all, the Democrats effectively control the process in 30 states, to the Republicans' 20. Yet the Republicans have stolen a march on the Democrats by preparing elaborate game plans. Armed to the teeth with computers, census maps, political consultants and legal advisers, they are prepared to spend millions of dollars to challenge the Democrats' control of the committees and commissions which will reapportion both congressional and state legislative districts.

And, most interesting of all, the Republicans are using reapportionment to strike an unusual alliance with Hispanic voters. The party has already arranged to provide computer services and other reapportionment aid to Hispanic leaders in several Sunbelt ststcs In Detroit, Market Opinion Research, the firm of Republican pollster Robert Teeter, has spent two years developing a system called CARES Computer Assisted Redistricting Evaluation System which will enable the politicians to fashion a district by punching keys on a computer display terminal. GOP leaders in several states have already signed a contract with MOR; in Connecticut, the Republicans proposed a "bipartisan" contract for computer services that only MOR could fill. A similar computer operation is underway at the Rose Institute, on the campus of Claremont Men's College in California. Backed by some $600,000 in corporate grants, the ostensibly non-partisan institute is in fact laying the groundwork for Republican challenges to Democratic reapportionment plans drawn up in Sacramento and other state capitals.

And here in Washington, the Republican National Committee has 14 people developing reapportionment services political, technical and legal expertise. The RNC expects to spend $1 million this year, according to redistricting director Maxine Fernstrom, "going where there is opportunity for Republican gain." Fernstrom's services include a mapping and data-base operation that can be customized by state and hooked into the RNC's master computer. By contrast, the Democratic National Committee has one fulltime reapportionment staffer, Dan Lucas, who is assisted by three interns. Incoming DNC chairman Charles Manatt has ignored the reapportionment issue until recently. Manatt set a reapportionment budget goal of $750,000 to $1 million, but hasn't yet figured out where the money will come from.

Organized labor is being pressured to foot the bill, but top AFL-CIO leaders have balked at warnings that the Republicans are about to outmaneuver them. Yet, this round of reapportionment is extremely important not only to the Republican party, but also to the the future of minorities, organized labor and liberals generally. The population gains in the Sunbelt that so obviously favor the Republicans mean fewer representatives from the core cities of the North. NOT ALL VARIETIES IN ALL STORES. Special Purchase! lie! $1 D.7v7 bale Peat Moss 2 for fik Save 22 tUjjSI Save 22 4 Cu.

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